To predict how the establishment of five key eucalypt species in the highlands of south eastern Australia will be affected by climate change (high and low change scenarios).
Type of Study:
Climate change is likely to impact plant regeneration, and species with seed dormancy mechanisms, such as E. delegatensis, are at higher risk. Considerable declines in regeneration potential for E. delegatensis were modelled to occur in some ecosystems by 2050.
High and low climate change scenarios.
Adaptive management of Eucalyptus delegatensis forests should be given high priority due to its vulnerability and its dominance in Melbourne water catchments.
Central Highlands, SE Australia.
Response variable :
Species establishment probability.
Mok H.-F., Arndt S. K. & Nitschke C. R. (2012) Modelling the potential impact of climate variability and change on species regeneration potential in the temperate forests of South-Eastern Australia. Global Change Biology 18, 1053-72.