Investigate how climate extremes in Australia might differ in frequency and magnitude between the 1.5°C and 2°C Paris global warming target levels.
Type of Study:
Heat extremes in Australia are likely to become more common and will have greater frequency and intensity at 2°C than 1.5°C. Droughts in southeast Australia will likely worsen but the signal for rainfall generally is weak.
Applies standard event attribution techniques to the analysis of future worlds at 1.5- and 2-degrees.
King, A. D., D. J. Karoly, and B. J. Henley, 2017: Australian climate extremes at 1.5 and 2 degrees of global warming. Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate3296.